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May 30, 2003
Coalition of the Less Than Willing

President Bush is having a little trouble reaching first base with some of our not-so-gallant allies.

He's asking them to go out on a date in the New Iraq® -- Dutch treat, of course -- but the objects of his affection have suddenly remembered a host of other pressing engagements: Denmark has to wash its hair, and Hungary has to visit a sick aunt in the hospital, and . . . well, you get the idea:

Relief for U.S. troops lacking

WASHINGTON -- The Pentagon's search for troops from other nations to replace U.S. soldiers in the force that is stabilizing postwar Iraq has fallen short of expectations, and U.S. officials face the prospect of keeping more U.S. forces in Iraq than they had hoped, diplomats and military officials say.

Despite efforts to prod other nations to send troops -- and a United Nations resolution on May 22 that cleared the way for countries to begin contributing soldiers to the postwar effort -- the United States and Britain have gotten promises of just 13,000 troops from two dozen countries, according to diplomats for the affected countries . . . That's much fewer than the tens of thousands of troops U.S. planners want.

Compare to: the 150,000 troops the U.S. currently has in Iraq, plus the 15,000 remaining British troops, which the Blair government badly wants to withdraw, since it seems they may be needed to crush an uprising in the House of Commons.

Of the names on Bush's dance card, only Poland seems to be eager to give the president a whirl:

The United States is receiving enthusiastic help from Poland. Polish officials said they are determined to take a lead role in the military security of Iraq as well as demonstrate to the United States and other NATO nations that it can be a good ally.

If I were sandwiched between the Germans and Russians, I'd be "enthusiastic," too. America has many sins, but invading Poland isn't one of them. Still the Poles say they can only scrape together about 7,000 troops -- and they'll need contributions from their fellow former Warsaw Pact members to even make that figure.

Japan says it may be able to go out later, but only if the Japanese parliament doesn't mind. And no touching below the waist.

Bush had to spend two days sweet talking the Japanese Prime Minister down in Crawford just to get that -- the proverbial peck on the cheek.

And that's about it. Before the invasion, if you recall, the administration told us the support of countries like Japan, Poland and Denmark (not to mention Uzbekistan, Azerbajian and the Maldive Islands) would more than make up for the loss of our traditional NATO allies in "old" Europe -- insignificant countries like Germany and France.

Now for the most part, our new love affairs didn't exactly promise to make out with us after we conquered Iraq, but they did give us strong indications they would be in the mood, so to speak. The hawks seemed to feel these were just as good as promises.

Now they're learning that it's always a country's perogative to change its mind.

This is big problem that could get even bigger, given how woefully undermanned the U.S. military is for an indefinite occupation of a county with Iraq's dimensions and problems. Some of the troops already are beginning to realize what that could mean:

U.S. May Soon Target Troubled Iraqi Areas

The commander of coalition ground forces in Iraq said Thursday he may soon send more troops to areas where U.S. forces have been attacked. But officers and senior enlisted men in the unit insist their equipment isn't battle ready, and say soldiers' lives may be needlessly put at risk.

Senior leaders and logistics experts in the 3rd Infantry say most of the division is not ready for combat. They complain that they have received almost no spare parts to repair damaged tanks and armored personnel carriers — what the military calls Class IX supplies — since they left Kuwait on March 22.

"He is going to get U.S. soldiers needlessly killed if he expects us to go into battle," a senior noncommissioned officer in the 3rd Infantry said of McKiernan. He spoke on condition he not be named for fear of retribution.

And so the war hawks are discovering the price that must be paid for being the most arrogant assholes on the entire planet.

Having made themselves -- and their cause -- deeply loathed in both old and new Europe (and just about every other location that doesn't have a U.S. zip code) the hawks shouldn't be surprised to find most of their democratic allies are unwilling to risk the wrath of the voters by sending large number of troops to Iraq. And their undemocratic allies don't have the troops to send, although they may be able to lend us a few death squads.

All along, the administration has treated its allies as if they were the Warsaw Pact ("line up and jump when we tell you, godammit.") As long as the demands were merely diplomatic -- a Security Council vote here, a letter of support there -- our "friends" were more than happy to oblige.

But now Bush is asking them for bodies, and maybe blood. But we're not the Soviet Union (or Nazi Germany) and they're not really the Warsaw Pact (or Axis puppet regimes.) The hawks can't force their allies to send troops, and seduction clearly isn't their strong suit. Which leaves only one way to get some action: paying for it -- the way King George paid for his Hessians.

Could be a big bull market for mercenaries.

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Posted by billmon at May 30, 2003 02:44 PM
Comments

Hello boys and girls. Todays lesson is about 'blowback'.

Posted by: Rodger at May 30, 2003 04:05 PM

And hey, despite what Candidate Bush said c.2000 about being and "arrogant nation" or a "humble nation", and how we would be percieved and thus treated, He's still staying in Switzerland during the G-8 summit in France.

I thought the french were supposed to be the arrogant ones.

But then again, he said he abosulutely would not pursue nation building using US troops.

I hope some yahoo eggs him.

mdhatter.blogspot.com

Posted by: mdhatter at May 30, 2003 04:20 PM

Another informative posting, and I must admit the one detail I comment on is the fact dealing with this concerning aspect of your post.
"Senior leaders and logistics experts in the 3rd Infantry say most of the division is not ready for combat. They complain that they have received almost no spare parts to repair damaged tanks and armored personnel carriers — what the military calls Class IX supplies — since they left Kuwait on March 22."
I guess all those non competitive defense contracts to the likes of Bush's buddies (CArlyle group et al)just haven't been enough. Probably will need to see another round of "bidding" ( and I use the term very loosely). Rummy and friends must be needing to go before congress soon to get more money again for this. Does anyone have a current tabulation on the total war to date costs, averages per month cost etc? Just curious as I haven't seen anything lately on the latest financial costs of Dubya's War.

Posted by: couldntresist at May 30, 2003 04:42 PM

Why barely 200,000 anti-Bush protesters are expected to show up over the weekend.

That's nothing compared to what would happen when he arrives in the Middle East if not for repression of dissent by our good friends in the region, like Jordan and Egypt.

Your either with us or you're against us. I guess we know the answer to that now. Sad.

Posted by: Pug at May 30, 2003 04:57 PM

I hate it when Bush goes to Europe. He can't wiggle out of those joint press conferences with other leaders--of course, they give regular press conferences, and it would be unthinkable not to have one with the President there.

Bush always makes a complete ass of himself. It's incredibly embarrassing as you listen to him after the other leader gives eloquent, cogent, real honest answers.

I feel real shame and horror, know the Europeans see this Thief. Living proof US Democracy was thrown in the shitter in 2000.

Can't this nightmare end?

Posted by: paradox at May 30, 2003 06:10 PM

Hmm, staying in Switzerland is he? This petulant turd of a president sure can hold a grudge. Though I'm sure Chirac will get in a few digs to aggravate our spoiled frat boy.

I'm just wonder'in whether Rove will dope him up again like they did for that bogus press conference. Look for glassy eyes and robot like movements.

Posted by: Rodger at May 30, 2003 10:26 PM

Why barely 200,000 anti-Bush protesters are expected to show up over the weekend.

Well, not only against him, but against the G8. But the French are not dumb, and nobody is allowed to enter a zone around Evian 30 km wide.

Posted by: at May 31, 2003 03:18 AM

Y'know, it's funny: The conservatives claim to loathe the French, but in some ways they'd like to copy the French:

The French have a strong presidency, not directly accountable to parliament, especially in military and foreign affairs.

The French are highly tolerant of official corruption and cozy insider deals for well-connected bureaucrats -- in fact they've elevated bribery to an art form.

France has no Freedom of Information Act. In fact, like Britain, it has a very strict Official Secrets Act.

The French security agencies operate almost completely outside the law, and like the Israelis, routinely use interrogation methods that are tantamount to torture.

The French police are brutal and aren't too picky about things like civil liberties. There are no "Miranda" rights in France.

The French are paranoid about Islam -- to the point of banning Muslim women from wearing head scarfs in public schools.

Why do these guys dislike each other so much?

Posted by: Billmon at May 31, 2003 12:52 PM